Via Kevin Drum, David Ignatius is in Iran and reports that though “you might expect that Tehran would feel like a garrison town” it’s actually surprisingly relaxed. But why might you expect that Teheran would feel like a garrison town? Well, you would if you’ve been following the media’s dubious, highly-spun coverage of the issue. But you wouldn’t if you asked yourself some basic question. For example, if Iran is preparing to mount a Hitler-style bid for world domination they must be engaged in a big military build-up, right? But there is no such build up. Maybe there’s no need for a build-up because the Iranian military is already so vast and mighty? Well, no. Iran has a defense budget of about $6 billion a year.The United States spends over 50 times more than that. But perhaps comparisons to the USA are misleading. Lets compare our would-be regional hegemon to its neighbors. Well, Israel spends $9.6 billion and Saudi Arabia spends $25.2 billion. Pakistan, immediately adjacent to Iran and nuclear armed, actually has engaged in a recent defense buildup. What kind of quest for hegemony is Iran supposed to be on? Ignorant American pundits and television personalities may be unaware of these facts, but surely Iranian military and intelligence officials have noticed that Iran has no capacity whatsoever to conquer the region.
So remember, when the administration later this year tells us of a “grave and gathering threat” in Iran, they’ve done this dance before. And we all know how that turned out.
